Sunday 4 March 2018

Italy election: Early exit polls point to hung parliament

Election posters for Italian political parties on a wall in Florence, Italy on 4 MarchImage copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image captionPollsters do not expect any party to win an outright majority
Italy is on course for a hung parliament after voters backed right-leaning and populist parties, exit polls suggest.
Initial projections say ex-PM Silvio Berlusconi's centre-right coalition is set to win the most seats in the lower house of parliament.
It is expected to get between 225-265 seats, polls say - below the 316 needed for an absolute majority.
Exit polls put the anti-establishment Five Star Movement in second place.
It has made significant gains and could emerge as the largest single party, with about 30% of votes and 195-235 seats.
The country's ruling centre-left Democratic Party stands in third place with a projected 115-155 seats - its prospects battered by public anger over unemployment and immigration.
Early exit polls have sometimes proved misleading in previous Italian elections. Final results are not expected for several hours.
It may take weeks of negotiation and coalition-building to find a definitive winner, our Italy Correspondent James Reynolds says.
BBC Europe editor Katya Adler tweeted that it is "theoretically possible for the EU's nightmare result to come true: a coalition between the 'populist Eurosceptics': Five Star and Lega [the League party]".
The surge in support for populist parties has prompted comparisons to Brexit and the election of Donald Trump in the US.
"The European Union is going to have a bad night," tweeted Marine Le Pen, leader of France's far-right National Front.
Figures based on early vote counting suggest Five Star and the League have also done better than expected in voting for Italy's Senate, the upper house of parliament.

Who's in Berlusconi's coalition?

The centre-right bloc includes Mr Berlusconi's Forza Italia (Go Italy!) party, the eurosceptic League, and the far-right Brothers of Italy.
Mr Berlusconi, 81, cannot hold public office himself until next year due to a tax fraud conviction.
The four-time prime minister - who has allied himself with the anti-immigrant League party - has backed European Parliament President Antonio Tajani as his choice to lead the country.
Mr Berlusconi stands in front of press as a woman standing on a table, with slogans written on her topless torsoImage copyrightGETTY IMAGES
Image captionMr Berlusconi was ambushed by a topless protester from a feminist activist group as he voted

Who are the other parties?

The anti-establishment Five Star party was founded in 2009 by comedian Beppe Grillo, who denounced cronyism in Italian politics. Current leader Luigi Di Maio has pledged a universal basic income scheme
Matteo Renzi's Democratic Party has partnered with three smaller parties to form a centre-left, pro-EU bloc that has staked its campaign on proposals to revive the economy. Mr Renzi resigned as PM in December 2016.

How was the turnout?

Officials at 19:00 (18:00 GMT) said that voter turnout stood at more than 58%, with several hours still to go.
Long queues were seen at voting centres around the country, with residents in Rome asked to turn up well before polls closed at 23:00 (22:00 GMT) to make sure they had time to cast their ballots.
The delays are thought to have been caused by a new voting system and new in-depth, anti-fraud checks.
In Palermo, Sicily, 200,000 ballots had to be reprinted because of errors, which led to a delay in some polls opening.

What are the key issues?

Immigration
More than 600,000 migrants have made the treacherous journey from Libya across the Mediterranean to reach Italy since 2013.
The huge number of arrivals has upset many Italians - with politicians, including from the mainstream, toughening their rhetoric as a result.
graphic of number of migrants arriving by sea in Italy
Mr Berlusconi has called the presence of illegal migrants a "social time-bomb" and pledges mass deportations.
The campaign has seen violent clashes between far-right supporters and anti-fascist protesters.
Italy's economy has started to expand once again. But nearly 10 years on from the global financial crisis, Italy's gross domestic product - or total economic output - remains 5.7% lower than pre-crisis levels.
In 2016, some 18 million people were at risk of poverty, and unemployment is at 11%.
poverty
Economic policy has been a key battleground, but observers say they have heard more from parties about pensioners than youths, which could be due to young voters' high vote abstention rates.

Why is this election important?

Italy is the EU's fourth-largest economy and the gains by populist and far-right parties are a major concern in some European capitals and in Brussels.
Contenders have lined up to blame EU budget rules for hampering economic recovery. Five Star and the League had promised to hold a referendum to leave the euro but dropped that rhetoric.
Media captionBerlusconi's handshake advice for BBC reporter

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